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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estadio Do Dragao
Estoril

Porto
0 - 1
Estoril


Eustaquio (29'), Conceicao (31'), Gonzalez (70'), Carmo (74'), Martinez (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Holsgrove (75')
Feltes (10'), Fernandes (35'), Marques (39'), Vital (45+1'), Alvaro (55'), Araujo (56'), Carne (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vizela 0-2 Porto
Sunday, October 29 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Estoril
Saturday, October 28 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Porto 3-0 Estoril Praia

Porto are huge favourites to claim another comfortable victory, and even if Conceicao makes a few changes with the Antwerp game in mind, they should still stroll to three points here. Having not tasted success in the league for almost three months, the Dragao is not the best place to go hunting for a win to end that barren run, and it could be another long night for Estoril here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 72.98%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 10.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 1-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.69%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-2 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
PortoDrawEstoril Praia
72.98% (0.058000000000007 0.06) 16.35% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 10.67% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.14% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.26% (0.0019999999999953 0)36.73% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.1% (0.0039999999999978 0)58.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.27% (0.012999999999991 0.01)8.72% (-0.013 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
70% (0.033000000000001 0.03)30% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.03% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)43.97% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.9% (-0.052 -0.05)80.1% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Porto 72.98%
    Estoril Praia 10.67%
    Draw 16.35%
PortoDrawEstoril Praia
2-0 @ 11.41% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.38% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.36% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.28% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.62%
4-0 @ 5.66% (0.014 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.65% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 2.76% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.27% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
6-0 @ 1.12% (0.004 0)
5-2 @ 0.93%
6-1 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 72.98%
1-1 @ 7.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.85% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.84% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 16.35%
1-2 @ 3.16% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.15% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 1.3% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.06% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 10.67%

How you voted: Porto vs Estoril

Porto
91.2%
Draw
2.9%
Estoril Praia
5.9%
34
Head to Head
Mar 10, 2023 8.15pm
Gameweek 24
Porto
3-2
Estoril
Grujic (9'), Franco (31'), Taremi (73' pen.)
Gouveia (27'), Geraldes (67' pen.)
Sep 17, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 7
Estoril
1-1
Porto
Gouveia (41')
Taremi (90+9' pen.)
May 14, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 34
Porto
2-0
Estoril
Joaozinho (48' og.), Fernando (88')
Jan 8, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 17
Estoril
2-3
Porto
Arthur (38'), Franco (43' pen.)
Arthur (48'), Fonte (62'), Pinheiro (64'), Lourenco (81'), Franco (90+7')
Taremi (49'), Diaz (84'), Conceicao (89')
Conceicao (90+1'), Otavio (90+5')
Feb 21, 2018 6pm
Estoril
1-3
Porto
Eduardo (16')
Ribeiro (42'), Allano (57'), Andrade (70')
Telles (52'), Tiquinho (58', 66')
Reyes (15'), Brahimi (71'), Hernani (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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