Primeira Liga | Gameweek 24
Mar 10, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio Do Dragão
Porto3 - 2Estoril
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chaves 1-3 Porto
Saturday, March 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, March 4 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Estoril 0-3 Vizela
Saturday, March 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, March 4 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
19
We said: Porto 3-0 Estoril Praia
While Estoril Praia will be looking to stop the rot, they face the daunting task of taking on a Porto side who have been near impenetrable at the Estadio do Dragao in recent weeks. Given the gulf in class and quality between the two sides, we are backing Porto to run out winners on Friday and keep the morale high ahead of the Champions League last-16 return leg. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 85.09%. A draw had a probability of 10.3% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 4.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 3-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.15%) and 4-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.87%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (1.61%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Porto | Draw | Estoril Praia |
85.09% ( 0.06) | 10.27% ( -0.04) | 4.65% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 43.19% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
