Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
12 | Vizela | 5 | -1 | 5 |
13 | Rio Ave | 5 | -2 | 5 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 5 | -2 | 5 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Porto | 6 | 11 | 15 |
3 | Braga | 5 | 15 | 13 |
4 | Portimonense | 6 | 1 | 12 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 54.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 21.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.08%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Braga |
21.34% (![]() | 24.07% (![]() | 54.59% (![]() |
Both teams to score 50.41% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.53% (![]() | 50.46% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.61% (![]() | 72.39% (![]() |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.76% (![]() | 38.23% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.01% (![]() | 74.99% (![]() |
Braga Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.62% (![]() | 18.38% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.48% (![]() | 49.52% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Braga |
1-0 @ 6.76% (![]() 2-1 @ 5.5% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.25% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.76% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.49% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.04% ( ![]() Other @ 1.54% Total : 21.34% | 1-1 @ 11.44% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.03% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.66% ( ![]() Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.06% | 0-1 @ 11.9% (![]() 0-2 @ 10.08% ( ![]() 1-2 @ 9.69% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.69% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.47% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.63% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.11% ( ![]() Other @ 3.27% Total : 54.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |