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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Nov 2, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Casa Pia

Rio Ave
2 - 2
Casa Pia

Clayton (16'), Neto (40')
Richards (37'), Aderlan (69'), Vrousai (82')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Moreira (3'), Cassiano (28')
Segovia (43'), Brito (85'), Kraev (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 5-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, October 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Casa Pia

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-0 Nacional
Friday, October 25 at 6.45pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Rio Ave 1-1 Casa Pia

 While Rio Ave have struggled to get going in recent weeks, they will be backing themselves to find their feet this weekend as they return home, where they are yet to suffer defeat in the league this season. However, Casa Pia have put together a fine run of results of late and we predict that they will do just enough to force a share of the spoils at the Estadio dos Arcos. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 54.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 21.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (6.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Rio AveDrawCasa Pia
54.9% (-0.376 -0.38) 23.85% (0.303 0.3) 21.25% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Both teams to score 50.95% (-0.828 -0.83)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.31% (-1.152 -1.15)49.69% (1.156 1.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.3% (-1.041 -1.04)71.7% (1.045 1.05)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.02% (-0.562 -0.56)17.97% (0.565 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.18% (-0.975 -0.98)48.82% (0.979 0.98)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.11% (-0.57700000000001 -0.58)37.89% (0.582 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.34% (-0.566 -0.57)74.66% (0.57000000000001 0.57)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 54.89%
    Casa Pia 21.25%
    Draw 23.85%
Rio AveDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 11.68% (0.33 0.33)
2-0 @ 10.02% (0.096 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-0 @ 5.74% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 5.57% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.109 -0.11)
4-0 @ 2.46% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.39% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 54.89%
1-1 @ 11.34% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 6.81% (0.315 0.32)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.1 -0.1)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.85%
0-1 @ 6.61% (0.205 0.21)
1-2 @ 5.5% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.21% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.78% (-0.033 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 21.25%

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Casa Pia

Rio Ave
37.5%
Draw
37.5%
Casa Pia
25.0%
8
Head to Head
Feb 11, 2024 3.30pm
Gameweek 21
Rio Ave
1-0
Casa Pia
Yakubu (88')
Freire (14'), Teixeira (38')

Neto (13'), Clayton (86'), Lameiras (90+4')
> Preview
Sep 2, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 4
Casa Pia
1-1
Rio Ave
Roberto (13')
Clayton (75')
Joca (52')
Graca (77'), Pantalon (90+4')
> Preview
Apr 16, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 28
Rio Ave
1-1
Casa Pia
Pantalon (52')
Martins (17')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 11
Casa Pia
1-0
Rio Ave
Godwin (66')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon16131244103440
2Porto1613124093140
3Benfica1612223792838
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara1610061816230
5Braga1684428181028
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes166642218424
7Casa Pia166551819-123
8MoreirenseMoreirense166372124-321
9FamalicaoFamalicao164751919019
10Rio AveRio Ave165471727-1019
11Gil Vicente164661825-718
12Estrela Amadora164481425-1116
13Estoril PraiaEstoril163671426-1215
14AVS162861223-1114
15SC FarenseFarense163491123-1213
16Nacional163491123-1213
17BoavistaBoavista162681023-1312
18AroucaArouca1633101027-1712
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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