Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 40.94%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (9.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Casa Pia |
40.94% ( 0.25) | 27.12% ( 0.01) | 31.95% ( -0.26) |
Both teams to score 49.81% ( -0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.57% ( -0.12) | 55.43% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.38% ( -0.1) | 76.62% ( 0.09) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.38% ( 0.08) | 26.62% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.15% ( 0.1) | 61.86% ( -0.1) |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.89% ( -0.24) | 32.11% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.41% ( -0.27) | 68.59% ( 0.27) |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Casa Pia |
1-0 @ 11.31% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 40.93% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 8.55% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.12% | 0-1 @ 9.71% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.74% Total : 31.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 14 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 36 |
2 | Porto | 14 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 33 | 9 | 24 | 34 |
3 | Benfica | 13 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 32 | 8 | 24 | 32 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 27 |
5 | Braga | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 16 | 9 | 25 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 20 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 19 |
9 | Casa Pia | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 17 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 16 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | Nacional | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 12 |
14 | AVS | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 11 |
17 | AroucaArouca | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 11 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 20 | -13 | 9 |
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