Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 88.28%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 3.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 4-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.7%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-2 (1.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
Result | ||
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Casa Pia |
88.28% (![]() | 8.04% (![]() | 3.68% (![]() |
Both teams to score 46.44% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
77.76% (![]() | 22.24% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
58.77% (![]() | 41.23% (![]() |
Sporting Lisbon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.85% (![]() | 3.15% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
85.95% (![]() | 14.05% (![]() |
Casa Pia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.95% (![]() | 52.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.96% (![]() | 86.04% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Casa Pia |
3-0 @ 11.29% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.8% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 9.76% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.38% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 6.75% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 6.4% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 6.38% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 5.67% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 4.41% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 3.89% ( ![]() 6-1 @ 2.54% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.41% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.08% ( ![]() 7-0 @ 1.92% ( ![]() 5-2 @ 1.44% ( ![]() 7-1 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 4.89% Total : 88.27% | 1-1 @ 3.7% (![]() 2-2 @ 2.09% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 1.64% ( ![]() Other @ 0.61% Total : 8.04% | 1-2 @ 1.21% (![]() 0-1 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 1.4% Total : 3.68% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 67 | 22 | 45 | 59 |
2 | Benfica | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 56 | 18 | 38 | 56 |
3 | Porto | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 49 | 20 | 29 | 50 |
4 | Braga | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 41 | 22 | 19 | 50 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 40 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 25 | 9 | 11 | 5 | 34 | 27 | 7 | 38 |
7 | Casa Pia | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 36 |
8 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 35 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 24 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 31 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 29 |
11 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 37 | -7 | 28 |
12 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 28 |
13 | Nacional | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 26 |
14 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 23 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 23 |
16 | AVS | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 23 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 25 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 17 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 15 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |