Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 11, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Rio Ave1 - 0Casa Pia
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Porto 0-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, February 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, February 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
20
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Boavista
Monday, February 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, February 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
19
We said: Rio Ave 1-0 Casa Pia
While both sides are evenly matched on paper, Rio Ave's home advantage gives them a slight edge this weekend. Freire's have been impressive at the Estadio dos Arcos in the last three months and we see them claiming all three points, albeit by a narrow margin. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 60.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 16.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Casa Pia |
60.9% ( 0.47) | 22.75% ( -0.12) | 16.35% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 45.96% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
