MX23RW : Tuesday, December 24 03:46:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 21
Feb 11, 2024 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Casa Pia

Rio Ave
1 - 0
Casa Pia

Yakubu (88')
Freire (14'), Teixeira (38')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Neto (13'), Clayton (86'), Lameiras (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Rio Ave and Casa Pia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Rio Ave

All competitions
Last Game: Porto 0-0 Rio Ave
Saturday, February 3 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last Game: Casa Pia 0-0 Boavista
Monday, February 5 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Rio Ave 1-0 Casa Pia

 While both sides are evenly matched on paper, Rio Ave's home advantage gives them a slight edge this weekend. Freire's have been impressive at the Estadio dos Arcos in the last three months and we see them claiming all three points, albeit by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 60.9%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 16.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.99%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rio Ave in this match.

Result
Rio AveDrawCasa Pia
60.9% (0.47 0.47) 22.75% (-0.12 -0.12) 16.35% (-0.346 -0.35)
Both teams to score 45.96% (-0.338 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)52% (0.080999999999996 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.27% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)73.74% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.34% (0.13800000000001 0.14)16.67% (-0.133 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.47% (0.242 0.24)46.53% (-0.237 -0.24)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.15% (-0.495 -0.49)44.85% (0.501 0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.19% (-0.399 -0.4)80.81% (0.40599999999999 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Rio Ave 60.89%
    Casa Pia 16.35%
    Draw 22.74%
Rio AveDrawCasa Pia
1-0 @ 13.39% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 11.99% (0.14 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.62% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 7.17% (0.118 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.21% (0.067 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.57% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.026 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.15% (0.028 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 60.89%
1-1 @ 10.73% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.47% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 22.74%
0-1 @ 5.99% (-0.064 -0.06)
1-2 @ 4.31% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-2 @ 2.4% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.15% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.03% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.47%
Total : 16.35%

How you voted: Rio Ave vs Casa Pia

Rio Ave
59.4%
Draw
31.3%
Casa Pia
9.4%
32
Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 4
Casa Pia
1-1
Rio Ave
Roberto (13')
Clayton (75')
Joca (52')
Graca (77'), Pantalon (90+4')
> Preview
Apr 16, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 28
Rio Ave
1-1
Casa Pia
Pantalon (52')
Martins (17')
> Preview
Oct 30, 2022 6pm
Gameweek 11
Casa Pia
1-0
Rio Ave
Godwin (66')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Benfica1512213782938
2Sporting Lisbon15121243103337
3Porto1512123692737
4Braga1584327161128
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara159061615127
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes156542016423
7Casa Pia155551618-220
8MoreirenseMoreirense156271922-320
9FamalicaoFamalicao154741817119
10Gil Vicente154561724-717
11Rio AveRio Ave154471526-1116
12Estrela Amadora154381324-1115
13Estoril PraiaEstoril153571224-1214
14AVS152761122-1113
15Nacional153481021-1113
16BoavistaBoavista152671019-912
17SC FarenseFarense15339921-1212
18AroucaArouca153210926-1711
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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