Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 22.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.
Result | ||
Rio Ave | Draw | Tondela |
50.74% | 27% | 22.26% |
Both teams to score 43.44% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.76% | 60.24% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.58% | 80.42% |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.05% | 23.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.83% | 58.17% |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.11% | 42.89% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.8% | 79.2% |
Score Analysis |
Rio Ave | Draw | Tondela |
1-0 @ 14.68% 2-0 @ 10.49% 2-1 @ 8.88% 3-0 @ 5% 3-1 @ 4.23% 3-2 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.79% 4-1 @ 1.51% Other @ 2.37% Total : 50.74% | 1-1 @ 12.42% 0-0 @ 10.27% 2-2 @ 3.76% Other @ 0.55% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 8.7% 1-2 @ 5.26% 0-2 @ 3.68% 1-3 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 1.06% 0-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.04% Total : 22.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |