Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Belenenses win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Tondela had a probability of 32.5% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Belenenses win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.43%). The likeliest Tondela win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Belenenses would win this match.
Result | ||
Belenenses | Draw | Tondela |
39.36% | 28.14% | 32.5% |
Both teams to score 46.96% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.9% | 59.1% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.45% | 79.55% |
Belenenses Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.75% | 29.25% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.79% | 65.21% |
Tondela Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.37% | 33.63% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.73% | 70.28% |
Score Analysis |
Belenenses | Draw | Tondela |
1-0 @ 12.09% 2-1 @ 8.1% 2-0 @ 7.43% 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 1.81% 4-1 @ 1.02% 4-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.61% Total : 39.35% | 1-1 @ 13.17% 0-0 @ 9.84% 2-2 @ 4.41% Other @ 0.72% Total : 28.14% | 0-1 @ 10.72% 1-2 @ 7.18% 0-2 @ 5.84% 1-3 @ 2.61% 0-3 @ 2.12% 2-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.42% Total : 32.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |