Primeira Liga | Gameweek 17
Feb 5, 2021 at 9pm UK
Mata Real
Pacos de Ferreira2 - 1Tondela
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 43.6%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 26.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 2-1 (7.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.17%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Tondela |
| 43.6% | 29.96% | 26.44% |
| Both teams to score 39.76% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
