Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 50.36%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 23.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.29%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 0-1 (8.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Santa Clara in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Santa Clara.
Result | ||
Santa Clara | Draw | Rio Ave |
50.36% ( -0.03) | 26.13% ( -0.1) | 23.52% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 47.07% ( 0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.79% ( 0.45) | 56.21% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.74% ( 0.36) | 77.26% ( -0.36) |
Santa Clara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.61% ( 0.17) | 22.39% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.11% ( 0.26) | 55.89% ( -0.26) |
Rio Ave Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.64% ( 0.37) | 39.36% ( -0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.95% ( 0.35) | 76.06% ( -0.35) |
Score Analysis |
Santa Clara | Draw | Rio Ave |
1-0 @ 13.18% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.92% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.14% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.89% Total : 50.35% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.73% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.43% Total : 23.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 17 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 48 | 14 | 34 | 41 |
2 | Porto | 17 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 40 | 11 | 29 | 40 |
3 | Benfica | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 38 | 11 | 27 | 38 |
4 | Braga | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 19 | 11 | 31 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 17 | 10 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 31 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 22 | 4 | 25 |
7 | Casa Pia | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 24 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 22 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 20 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 19 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 28 | -10 | 18 |
13 | Nacional | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 16 |
15 | AVS | 17 | 2 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
16 | AroucaArouca | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 28 | -15 | 15 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 23 | -12 | 14 |
18 | BoavistaBoavista | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26 | -15 | 12 |
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