Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 68.39%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 11.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.01%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (4.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.