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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 31, 2022 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Famalicao logo

Guimaraes
3 - 2
Famalicao

Johnston (21'), Luz (56', 65')
Luz (31'), Carlos (72'), Freitas (90+1'), Safira (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Millan (74', 83')
Moura (45'), Assuncao (69'), Colombatto (85'), Pele (90+1'), Lima (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last Game: Guimaraes 3-2 Boavista
Sunday, October 23 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Famalicao

All competitions
Last Game: Famalicao 2-1 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, October 22 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 3-1 Famalicao

 Vitoria de Guimaraes and Famalicao have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks and this makes Monday's matchup an exciting one. Os Vimaranenses have been dominant in the history of this fixture and we predict that they will extend their fine run against the visitors by claiming all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 45.81%. A draw had a probability of 28.4% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 25.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (9.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawFamalicao
45.81% (1.165 1.17) 28.39% (0.182 0.18) 25.79% (-1.347 -1.35)
Both teams to score 43.09% (-1.362 -1.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.63% (-1.257 -1.26)62.37% (1.257 1.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.99% (-0.928 -0.93)82.01% (0.929 0.93)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.7% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)27.3% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.26% (0.015000000000001 0.02)62.74% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.26% (-1.883 -1.88)40.74% (1.883 1.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.68% (-1.734 -1.73)77.32% (1.734 1.73)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 45.8%
    Famalicao 25.79%
    Draw 28.39%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawFamalicao
1-0 @ 14.43% (0.66 0.66)
2-0 @ 9.37% (0.435 0.43)
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-0 @ 4.06% (0.189 0.19)
3-1 @ 3.64% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.64% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-0 @ 1.32% (0.062 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.18% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 45.8%
1-1 @ 12.96% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 11.12% (0.51 0.51)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.214 -0.21)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 28.39%
0-1 @ 9.99% (-0.043999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.332 -0.33)
0-2 @ 4.48% (-0.257 -0.26)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.196 -0.2)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.152 -0.15)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.128 -0.13)
Other @ 1.29%
Total : 25.79%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Famalicao

Vitoria de Guimaraes
80.6%
Draw
13.4%
Famalicao
6.0%
67
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2022 8.30pm
Guimaraes
2-1
Famalicao
Estupinan (45+1'), Rochinha (47')
Silva (4'), Semedo (34'), Lameiras (65'), Soares (74'), Almeida (88')
Pepe (6')
Batubinsika (37'), Tavares (90+3')
Oct 1, 2021 9.15pm
Famalicao
1-2
Guimaraes
Banza (5')
Pickel (63'), Figueiras (75')
Estupinan (34'), Edwards (59')
Sacko (26'), Borevkovic (38'), Rochinha (42'), Andre (62'), Varela (89')
May 12, 2021 8.15pm
Guimaraes
1-2
Famalicao
Duarte (6')
Pepelu (68'), Andre (69'), Quaresma (90+2')
Kraev (21'), Tavares (85')
Babic (35'), Queiros (60'), Ugarte (66'), Rodrigues (69')
Jan 24, 2021 8.15pm
Famalicao
0-1
Guimaraes

Ugarte (68'), Pereyra (90+4')
Almeida (12')
Estupinan (16'), Almeida (55'), Fernandes (86'), Wakaso (88')
Feb 8, 2020 3.30pm
Famalicao
0-7
Guimaraes

Assuncao (6'), Lionn (62')
Silva (23')
Duarte (5'), Carlos Teixeira (14', 54'), Edwards (49', 79'), Pepe (52'), Davidson (67')
Henrique (36'), Hanin (44'), Andre (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon17132248143441
2Porto1613124093140
3Benfica17122338112738
4Braga1794430191131
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara1710161816231
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes176742622425
7Casa Pia176651920-124
8MoreirenseMoreirense176472225-322
9FamalicaoFamalicao174852020020
10Rio AveRio Ave175571828-1020
11Gil Vicente174761926-719
12Estoril PraiaEstoril174671828-1018
13Estrela Amadora174491629-1316
14AVS172961324-1115
15AroucaArouca1743101328-1515
16SC FarenseFarense173591123-1214
17Nacional163491123-1213
18BoavistaBoavista172691126-1512
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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