Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 20.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Famalicao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
53.66% ( 0.08) | 25.77% ( -0.04) | 20.58% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 44.61% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
42.39% ( 0.08) | 57.61% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.62% ( 0.06) | 78.38% ( -0.06) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.44% ( 0.07) | 21.56% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.37% ( 0.1) | 54.63% ( -0.1) |
Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.87% | 43.13% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.6% ( 0) | 79.4% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
1-0 @ 14.26% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.6% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) Other @ 3% Total : 53.64% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( 0) Other @ 0.6% Total : 25.76% | 0-1 @ 7.82% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.41% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.01% Total : 20.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 43 | 10 | 33 | 37 |
2 | Porto | 15 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 37 |
3 | Benfica | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 34 | 8 | 26 | 35 |
4 | Braga | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 16 | 11 | 28 |
5 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 15 | 9 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 27 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Casa Pia | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 18 | -2 | 20 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 20 |
9 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 19 |
10 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 17 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
12 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 14 |
13 | AVS | 15 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 13 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 12 |
15 | Nacional | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 24 | -12 | 12 |
17 | SC FarenseFarense | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 21 | -12 | 12 |
18 | AroucaArouca | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 11 |
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