Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 48.64%. A win for Famalicao had a probability of 26.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Famalicao win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Famalicao |
48.64% | 25.34% | 26.03% |
Both teams to score 51.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.73% | 51.28% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.89% | 73.11% |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.9% | 21.1% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.07% | 53.93% |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.59% | 34.41% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.88% | 71.13% |
Score Analysis |
Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Famalicao |
1-0 @ 11.29% 2-1 @ 9.38% 2-0 @ 8.79% 3-1 @ 4.86% 3-0 @ 4.56% 3-2 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.89% 4-0 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.49% Total : 48.63% | 1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 7.26% 2-2 @ 5% 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.34% | 0-1 @ 7.75% 1-2 @ 6.43% 0-2 @ 4.13% 1-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.78% 0-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.19% Total : 26.03% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 15 |
5 | Braga | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 14 |
6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | AVS | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 8 |
11 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | -7 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
16 | BoavistaBoavista | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 1 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |