Guimaraes1 - 0Maritimo
Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, November 9 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal
for
Sunday, November 6 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-0 Maritimo
While Maritimo will be looking to continue in their new-form form, they face a Vitoria de Guimaraes side whose home ground has been a fortress over the past few months. We predict that Moreno's side will extend their dominance over the visitors and claim all three points on Sunday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 18.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Maritimo |
57.46% ( 0.06) | 24.07% ( -0.04) | 18.47% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.08% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.04% ( 0.13) | 53.95% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.6% ( 0.11) | 75.4% ( -0.11) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.38% ( 0.07) | 18.61% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.09% ( 0.13) | 49.9% ( -0.13) |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.62% ( 0.05) | 43.37% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 20.39% ( 0.04) | 79.6% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Maritimo |
| 1-0 @ 13.57% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 11.41% 2-1 @ 9.53% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.34% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.69% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 57.45% | 1-1 @ 11.33% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.68% Total : 24.06% | 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.74% 0-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.32% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 1.75% Total : 18.47% |
