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Moreirense
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Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 13, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Maritimo

Guimaraes
1 - 0
Maritimo

Silva (70')
Johnston (56')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Costa (78'), Brito (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Vitoria de Guimaraes and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Guimaraes 2-1 Vizela
Wednesday, November 9 at 6.45pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Maritimo 0-0 Famalicao
Sunday, November 6 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-0 Maritimo

While Maritimo will be looking to continue in their new-form form, they face a Vitoria de Guimaraes side whose home ground has been a fortress over the past few months. We predict that Moreno's side will extend their dominance over the visitors and claim all three points on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 57.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 18.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.33%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawMaritimo
57.46% (0.064 0.06) 24.07% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04) 18.47% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.08% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.04% (0.133 0.13)53.95% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.6% (0.112 0.11)75.4% (-0.11199999999999 -0.11)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.38% (0.073999999999998 0.07)18.61% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.09% (0.126 0.13)49.9% (-0.127 -0.13)
Maritimo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.62% (0.052999999999997 0.05)43.37% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.39% (0.042999999999999 0.04)79.6% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 57.45%
    Maritimo 18.47%
    Draw 24.06%
Vitoria de GuimaraesDrawMaritimo
1-0 @ 13.57% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 11.41%
2-1 @ 9.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.4% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.34% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.69% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.25% (0.013 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.9% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 57.45%
1-1 @ 11.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 8.07% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-2 @ 3.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 24.06%
0-1 @ 6.74% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.74%
0-2 @ 2.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.11% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 18.47%

How you voted: Guimaraes vs Maritimo

Vitoria de Guimaraes
100%
Draw
0.0%
Maritimo
0.0%
15
Head to Head
Mar 13, 2022 3.30pm
Maritimo
0-1
Guimaraes

Costa (58'), Beltrame (61')
Janvier (82')
Silva (58'), Maga (72'), Quaresma (89')
Oct 22, 2021 8.15pm
May 16, 2021 8pm
Maritimo
0-0
Guimaraes

Rene (17'), Correa (35'), Joel (65'), Pelagio (70')

Mensah (35'), Sacko (43')
Jan 31, 2021 3pm
Guimaraes
1-0
Maritimo
Estupinan (48')
Mumin (41'), Suliman (90+3')

Rene (10'), Hermes (82')
Jul 19, 2020 9.15pm
Guimaraes
1-0
Maritimo
Edwards (24')
Venancio (44'), Poha (64')

China (54'), Pelagio (65'), Rene (71'), Nanu (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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