Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 80.42%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 6.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.81%) and 1-0 (10.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.27%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (2.38%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.