Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
May 7, 2023 at 6pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 2-1 Vizela
Buoyed by their victory over Maritimo, Teixeira's men will head into the weekend with renewed belief as they look to rekindle their race for a spot in Europe. While Vizela have the firepower in their ranks, they have struggled to get going in recent weeks and we predict that Vitoria de Guimaraes will do just enough to come away victorious.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 36.2% . A win for Vizela had a probability of 36.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.6% .
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.53%) . The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (10.85%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%) . The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Vitoria de Guimaraes would win this match.
Result Vitoria de Guimaraes Draw Vizela 36.2% 27.64% ( 0) 36.17% ( 0)
Both teams to score 48.92%
43.13% 56.87% ( 0)
22.21% 77.79% ( 0)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
69.95% 30.05% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 33.82% 66.18% ( 0)
69.93% 30.07% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 33.8% 66.2% ( 0)
Vitoria de Guimaraes 36.19%
Vizela 36.16%
Draw 27.63%
Vitoria de Guimaraes Draw Vizela 1-0 @ 10.86% 2-1 @ 7.85% 2-0 @ 6.53% 3-1 @ 3.15% 3-0 @ 2.62% 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.36% Total : 36.19% 1-1 @ 13.05% 0-0 @ 9.04% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.72% Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.63% 0-1 @ 10.85% 1-2 @ 7.84% 0-2 @ 6.53% 1-3 @ 3.14% 0-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 1.89% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.35% Total : 36.16%
How you voted: Guimaraes vs Vizela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Draw
Vizela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
60.0%
15
rhs 2.0
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