Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29
Apr 24, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Guimaraes0 - 2Sporting Lisbon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Famalicao 2-1 Guimaraes
Friday, April 14 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, April 14 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
27
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-1 Juventus
Thursday, April 20 at 8pm in Europa League
Thursday, April 20 at 8pm in Europa League
We said: Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-3 Sporting Lisbon
Sporting have found wins hard to come by of late, but they will fancy their chances of seeing off the threat of an out-of-sorts Vitoria side. We are backing the away side to emerge triumphant in a relatively comfortable manner come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 55.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 20.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.02%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Vitoria de Guimaraes | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
20.98% ( 0.01) | 23.57% ( 0.03) | 55.45% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 51.43% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
