Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 29, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Estádio dos Barreiros
Maritimo1 - 2Guimaraes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Famalicao 3-2 Maritimo
Saturday, April 22 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, April 22 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
26
Last Game: Guimaraes 0-2 Sporting Lisbon
Monday, April 24 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Monday, April 24 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Goals
for
for
27
We said: Maritimo 1-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes
Given that Maritimo are fighting for their lives at the bottom end of the table, we expect the hosts to pick up a precious point against off-form Vitoria de Guimaraes, whose winless run looks set to continue. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maritimo | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
41.74% ( 0.05) | 25.81% ( -0.01) | 32.44% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.09% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
