Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 50.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 24.09%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Famalicao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.
Result | ||
Famalicao | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
50.05% ( -0.59) | 25.86% ( 0.04) | 24.09% ( 0.55) |
Both teams to score 48.41% ( 0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.24% ( 0.27) | 54.75% ( -0.28) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.93% ( 0.23) | 76.07% ( -0.23) |
Famalicao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.08% ( -0.14) | 21.91% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.82% ( -0.21) | 55.18% ( 0.21) |
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.99% ( 0.66) | 38% ( -0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.22% ( 0.63) | 74.77% ( -0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Famalicao | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
1-0 @ 12.64% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.12) 3-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.08% Total : 50.05% | 1-1 @ 12.23% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.8% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.61% Total : 24.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 2 | 23 | 21 |
2 | Porto | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 3 | 13 | 18 |
3 | Benfica | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 5 | 12 | 16 |
4 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
5 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 |
6 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 12 |
7 | Braga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 11 |
8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
9 | Casa Pia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 8 |
10 | Rio AveRio Ave | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 7 |
11 | AVS | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 7 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 6 |
14 | AroucaArouca | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 6 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Estrela Amadora | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 5 |
17 | Nacional | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -8 | 5 |
18 | SC FarenseFarense | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | -11 | 0 |
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