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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Famalicao logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 14, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho
Vitoria de Guimaraes

Famalicao
2 - 1
Guimaraes

Cadiz (10'), Moura (70')
Youssouf (45+2')
Riccieli (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Silva (64')
Silva (19'), Tounkara (25'), Safira (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Famalicao and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Famalicao

All competitions
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-3 Famalicao
Saturday, April 8 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Vitoria de Guimaraes

All competitions
Last Game: Boavista 2-1 Guimaraes
Friday, April 7 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Famalicao 2-1 Vitoria de Guimaraes

 While Famalicao have hit their stride at the business end of the season, Guimaraes have suffered a drop-off in form, with their European quest now hanging in the balance. Given their contrasting form, we are backing the Vila Nova to pick up where they dropped off on Friday and come away with all three points once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 50.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 24.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.23%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Famalicao in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Famalicao.

Result
FamalicaoDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
50.05% (-0.59 -0.59) 25.86% (0.044 0.04) 24.09% (0.545 0.55)
Both teams to score 48.41% (0.427 0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.24% (0.275 0.27)54.75% (-0.278 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.93% (0.228 0.23)76.07% (-0.23 -0.23)
Famalicao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.08% (-0.142 -0.14)21.91% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.82% (-0.214 -0.21)55.18% (0.212 0.21)
Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.99% (0.658 0.66)38% (-0.659 -0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.22% (0.629 0.63)74.77% (-0.631 -0.63)
Score Analysis
    Famalicao 50.05%
    Vitoria de Guimaraes 24.09%
    Draw 25.85%
FamalicaoDrawVitoria de Guimaraes
1-0 @ 12.64% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-0 @ 9.6% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.28% (-0.011999999999999 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.86% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-1 @ 4.7% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.27% (0.028 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.84% (-0.051 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 50.05%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.33% (-0.091000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.49% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 25.85%
0-1 @ 8.06% (0.058 0.06)
1-2 @ 5.92% (0.122 0.12)
0-2 @ 3.9% (0.097 0.1)
1-3 @ 1.91% (0.072 0.07)
2-3 @ 1.45% (0.049 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 24.09%

How you voted: Famalicao vs Guimaraes

Famalicao
72.2%
Draw
11.1%
Vitoria de Guimaraes
16.7%
18
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2022 8.15pm
Guimaraes
3-2
Famalicao
Johnston (21'), Luz (56', 65')
Luz (31')
Millan (74', 83')
Mar 6, 2022 8.30pm
Guimaraes
2-1
Famalicao
Estupinan (45+1'), Rochinha (47')
Silva (4'), Semedo (34'), Lameiras (65'), Soares (74'), Almeida (88')
Pepe (6')
Batubinsika (37'), Tavares (90+3')
Oct 1, 2021 9.15pm
Famalicao
1-2
Guimaraes
Banza (5')
Pickel (63'), Figueiras (75')
Estupinan (34'), Edwards (59')
Sacko (26'), Borevkovic (38'), Rochinha (42'), Andre (62'), Varela (89')
May 12, 2021 8.15pm
Guimaraes
1-2
Famalicao
Duarte (6')
Pepelu (68'), Andre (69'), Quaresma (90+2')
Kraev (21'), Tavares (85')
Babic (35'), Queiros (60'), Ugarte (66'), Rodrigues (69')
Jan 24, 2021 8.15pm
Famalicao
0-1
Guimaraes

Ugarte (68'), Pereyra (90+4')
Almeida (12')
Estupinan (16'), Almeida (55'), Fernandes (86'), Wakaso (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon14120243103336
2Porto1411123392434
3Benfica1310213282432
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara149051613327
5Braga147432516925
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes146441814422
7MoreirenseMoreirense146261919020
8FamalicaoFamalicao144731715219
9Casa Pia144551317-417
10Gil Vicente144461724-716
11Rio AveRio Ave144461525-1016
12Estoril PraiaEstoril143561221-914
13Nacional13337817-912
14AVS142661122-1112
15Estrela Amadora143381224-1212
16BoavistaBoavista142571019-911
17AroucaArouca14329823-1511
18SC FarenseFarense14239720-139
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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