Primeira Liga | Gameweek 29

Apr 23, 2023 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca
1 - 0
Vizela

Sylla (12' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Anderson (9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Vizela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-1 Arouca
Sunday, April 16 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vizela

All competitions

Last Game: Vizela 1-1 Boavista
Monday, April 17 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Both teams will come into Sunday's meeting full of confidence and have the quality to hurt one another, and we anticipate a hotly-contested encounter. Arouca know that avoiding defeat will be enough to maintain a comfortable lead over their visitors, and we see them having enough to at least take a share of the spoils at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 33.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (10.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Arouca	Draw	Vizela
33.72% ( 0.05)	27.78% ( 0.02)	38.5% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 48.27% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.43% (

-0.07)

57.58% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.65% (

-0.05)

78.36% (

0.06)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68% (

-0)

32% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.54% (

-0)

68.47% (

Vizela Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.99% (

-0.07)

29.01% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.09% (

-0.09)

64.91% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Arouca 33.72%

Vizela 38.5%

Draw 27.78%

Arouca	Draw	Vizela
1-0 @ 10.57% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.46% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.83% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 33.72%	1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.29% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.61% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.78%	0-1 @ 11.49% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.1% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.34% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.68% Total : 38.5%