MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 11:56:15| >> :300:86500:86500:
Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 15
Nov 12, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
Stadion Poljud

Hajduk Split
3 - 1
Varazdin

Pukstas (35'), Sarlija (38'), Krovinovic (66')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Uremovic (83' og.)
Marina (4')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between Hajduk Split and NK Varazdin.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Osijek 0-1 Hajduk Split
Wednesday, November 8 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 1-1 Dinamo Zagreb
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hajduk Split win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for NK Varazdin had a probability of 17.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hajduk Split win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.75%), while for a NK Varazdin win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hajduk Split would win this match.

Result
Hajduk SplitDrawNK Varazdin
62.28% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04) 20.69% (0.09 0.09) 17.04% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)
Both teams to score 53.83% (-0.413 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.79% (-0.497 -0.5)42.21% (0.5 0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.39% (-0.5 -0.5)64.62% (0.502 0.5)
Hajduk Split Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.01% (-0.166 -0.17)12.99% (0.167 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.49% (-0.339 -0.34)39.51% (0.34200000000001 0.34)
NK Varazdin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.87% (-0.357 -0.36)38.13% (0.358 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.1% (-0.344 -0.34)74.9% (0.34699999999999 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Hajduk Split 62.27%
    NK Varazdin 17.04%
    Draw 20.69%
Hajduk SplitDrawNK Varazdin
2-0 @ 10.31% (0.1 0.1)
1-0 @ 10.11% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.95%
3-0 @ 7.02% (0.024 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.77% (-0.043 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.58% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.45% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.66% (-0.038 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.41% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 62.27%
1-1 @ 9.75% (0.061 0.06)
0-0 @ 4.96% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.69%
0-1 @ 4.78% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 4.7% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.3% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.51% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 17.04%

Head to Head
Aug 26, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 6
Varazdin
1-2
Hajduk Split
Belcar (36')
Krovinovic (29'), Dajaku (86')
Sigur (60')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Hajduk Split138412181328
2HNK RijekaRijeka146802051526
3Dinamo Zagreb1474330171325
4NK VarazdinVarazdin14563129321
5Osijek136251916320
6Slaven Koprivnica143471520-513
7NK Lokomotiva143471521-613
8NK Istra 1961Istra 1961143471123-1213
9GoricaGorica133371321-812
10Sibenik13337925-1612


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