Having ended a run of eight games without a victory last time out, Willem II travel to the Philips Stadion on Sunday to tackle PSV Eindhoven.
On the other hand, PSV are looking to pick up a ninth victory in 10 Eredivisie outings and keep their title charge alive.
Match preview
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PSV claimed a narrow 2-1 triumph over Cambuur when the teams faced off at the Cambuur Stadion on Saturday.
After going behind to Patrick Joosten's early strike, Roger Schmidt's men came roaring back courtesy of strikes from Eran Zahavi and Mario Gotze.
The Rood-witten still trail Ajax by four points at the top of the league standings with just four games left to conclude the 2021-22 campaign.
Coming up next is the challenge of a Willem II side who claimed a shock 2-1 victory back in September's reverse fixture.
However, Sunday's hosts currently boast five home league wins on the bounce and will back themselves to get the job done this weekend.
Willem II secured a long-awaited victory on Sunday with a 1-0 win against Vitesse at the Konig Willem II Stadion.
The contest was decided in the fourth minute, as Jizz Hornkamp opened the scoring to hand Kevin Hofland's men all three points.
Consequently, the Tricolores have moved off the bottom of the Eredivisie table and are now only two points adrift of safety.
With two of their final four fixtures coming away from home where they have amassed the joint-fewest points in the entire division, Sunday's visitors will need to get going on the road to stand any chance of beating the drop.
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Team News
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Noni Madueke and Olivier Boscagli are guaranteed absentees as they continue to nurse muscle injuries.
PSV will also be without the services of Shurandy Sambo and Ryan Thomas, who remain sidelined with knee injuries.
Cody Gakpo and Eran Zahavi are both tied on nine league goals apiece and will be looking to reach double digits in goals before the season runs out.
Willem II's Ringo Meerveld is yet to recover from a muscle injury, while Miquel Nelom misses out due to an ankle problem.
Having missed the last five games through a damaged knee, 21-year-old Thijs Oosting is closing in on a return to action.
PSV Eindhoven possible starting lineup:
Mvogo; Max, Ramalho, Teze, Mauro; Veerman, Gutierrez; Bruma, Gotze, Doan; Zahavi
Willem II possible starting lineup:
Wellenreuther; Kohn, Dammers, Heerkens, Owusu; Saddiki, Llonch; Nunnely, Svensson, Kohlert; Hornkamp
We say: PSV Eindhoven 3-1 Willem II
Buoyed by their recent victory, Willem II will head to Eindhoven with the wind in their sails, but awaiting them is a PSV side currently firing on all cylinders. We are backing the hosts to emerge triumphant at the sound of the final whistle.
Top tip
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 88.49%. A draw had a probability of 8% and a win for Willem II had a probability of 3.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 4-0 (10.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.76%), while for a Willem II win it was 1-2 (1.14%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
