Scottish Challenge Cup | Fourth Round
Oct 12, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Excelsior Stadium
Airdrieonians1 - 1East Kilbride
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Fourth Round clash between Airdrieonians and East Kilbride.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Airdrieonians 1-1 Dunfermline
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in Scottish Championship
Last Game: East Kilbride 3-2 Cove Rangers
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Ayr | 16 | 1.78 | Dowds |
| 2 | Falkirk | 13 | 1.63 | Mackie |
| 3 | Livingston | 10 | 1.25 | Pittman |
| 4 | Hamilton | 9 | 1.00 | Shaw |
| 5 | Queen's Park | 9 | 1.13 | Rudden |
| 6 | Morton | 7 | 0.88 | Baird |
| 7 | Partick | 6 | 0.75 | Fitzpatrick |
| 8 | Airdrieonians | 5 | 0.63 | Reid |
| 9 | Dunfermline | 5 | 0.63 | Otoo |
| 10 | Raith Rovers | 5 | 0.63 | Easton |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Airdrieonians win with a probability of 40.45%. A win for East Kilbride had a probability of 36.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Airdrieonians win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.42%) and 2-0 (5.39%). The likeliest East Kilbride win was 1-2 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Airdrieonians | Draw | East Kilbride |
40.45% ( -1.16) | 23.14% ( 0.11) | 36.41% ( 1.06) |
| Both teams to score 64.69% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
