MX23RW : Thursday, November 14 00:47:56| >> :60:989:989:
Scottish Challenge Cup | First Round
Jul 30, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
K Park Training Academy

East Kilbride
3 - 0
Celtic Res.

Elliott (5'), Robertson (22'), Leitch (61')
Elliott (48'), Spence (90+2')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup First Round clash between East Kilbride and Celtic Reserves.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: East Kilbride 1-3 QotS
Tuesday, July 23 at 7.45pm in Scottish League Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Celtic Res. 1-3 East Kilbride
Wednesday, August 2 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Kilbride win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Celtic Reserves had a probability of 29.92% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a East Kilbride win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.14%) and 3-2 (5.27%). The likeliest Celtic Reserves win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Kilbride would win this match.

Result
East KilbrideDrawCeltic Reserves
49.85% (6.942 6.94) 20.25% (-0.255 -0.25) 29.92% (-6.678 -6.68)
Both teams to score 73.22% (-2.028 -2.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.43% (-1.479 -1.48)24.58% (1.487 1.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.64% (-1.977 -1.98)44.36% (1.984 1.98)
East Kilbride Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.29% (1.446 1.45)10.72% (-1.438 -1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.35% (3.128 3.13)34.66% (-3.119 -3.12)
Celtic Reserves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.01% (-3.651 -3.65)17.99% (3.66 3.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.15% (-6.671 -6.67)48.86% (6.679 6.68)
Score Analysis
    East Kilbride 49.85%
    Celtic Reserves 29.92%
    Draw 20.25%
East KilbrideDrawCeltic Reserves
2-1 @ 8.25% (0.734 0.73)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.861 0.86)
3-2 @ 5.27% (0.139 0.14)
2-0 @ 4.81% (0.94 0.94)
1-0 @ 4.31% (0.635 0.64)
3-0 @ 3.58% (0.863 0.86)
4-1 @ 3.43% (0.647 0.65)
4-2 @ 2.94% (0.239 0.24)
4-0 @ 2% (0.567 0.57)
4-3 @ 1.68% (-0.068 -0.07)
5-1 @ 1.53% (0.359 0.36)
5-2 @ 1.31% (0.175 0.18)
Other @ 4.6%
Total : 49.85%
1-1 @ 7.39% (0.254 0.25)
2-2 @ 7.07% (-0.226 -0.23)
3-3 @ 3.01% (-0.309 -0.31)
0-0 @ 1.93% (0.186 0.19)
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 20.25%
1-2 @ 6.34% (-0.593 -0.59)
2-3 @ 4.04% (-0.683 -0.68)
1-3 @ 3.62% (-0.864 -0.86)
0-1 @ 3.31% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.84% (-0.451 -0.45)
2-4 @ 1.73% (-0.562 -0.56)
0-3 @ 1.62% (-0.507 -0.51)
1-4 @ 1.55% (-0.626 -0.63)
3-4 @ 1.29% (-0.321 -0.32)
Other @ 3.57%
Total : 29.92%

Head to Head
Aug 2, 2023 7.45pm
First Round
Celtic Res.
1-3
East Kilbride
Vata (12')
Frame (21')
Biggar (6'), Samson (57'), Kelly (82')
rhs 2.0
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