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Scottish Challenge Cup | Second Round
Aug 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Falkirk Community Stadium

East Stirling
2 - 2
East Kilbride

Spence (18'), Penker (55')
Campbell (54')
FT
(aet)
Elliott (43'), Spence (47')
McDonald (61')
Daramola (30')
East Kilbride win 3-1 on penalties
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Second Round clash between East Stirlingshire and East Kilbride.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Motherwell U21s 0-0 East Stirling (7-8 pen.)
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Elgin52.50Dingwall
2East Fife42.00McManus
3Spartans42.00Henderson
4Peterhead31.50Armour
5Stirling21.00Carrick
6Stranraer21.00Dunlop
7Clyde10.50Grant
8Edinburgh10.50Young
9Forfar10.50Mylchreest
10Bonnyrigg Rose00.00
Last Game: East Kilbride 3-0 Celtic Res.
Tuesday, July 30 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Elgin52.50Dingwall
2East Fife42.00McManus
3Spartans42.00Henderson
4Peterhead31.50Armour
5Stirling21.00Carrick
6Stranraer21.00Dunlop
7Clyde10.50Grant
8Edinburgh10.50Young
9Forfar10.50Mylchreest
10Bonnyrigg Rose00.00

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Kilbride win with a probability of 70.82%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for East Stirlingshire had a probability of 13.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a East Kilbride win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.53%), while for a East Stirlingshire win it was 2-1 (3.7%).

Result
East StirlingshireDrawEast Kilbride
13.39% (0.943 0.94) 15.79% (0.722 0.72) 70.82% (-1.664 -1.66)
Both teams to score 63.37% (-0.083999999999996 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.01% (-1.288 -1.29)25.99% (1.288 1.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
53.8% (-1.671 -1.67)46.2% (1.672 1.67)
East Stirlingshire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.83% (0.337 0.34)32.17% (-0.337 -0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.35% (0.379 0.38)68.65% (-0.378 -0.38)
East Kilbride Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.43% (-0.589 -0.59)6.57% (0.589 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
75.53% (-1.632 -1.63)24.47% (1.633 1.63)
Score Analysis
    East Stirlingshire 13.39%
    East Kilbride 70.82%
    Draw 15.79%
East StirlingshireDrawEast Kilbride
2-1 @ 3.7% (0.243 0.24)
1-0 @ 2.4% (0.212 0.21)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 1.4% (0.104 0.1)
2-0 @ 1.36% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 13.39%
1-1 @ 6.53% (0.374 0.37)
2-2 @ 5.04% (0.169 0.17)
0-0 @ 2.11% (0.169 0.17)
3-3 @ 1.73% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 15.79%
1-2 @ 8.89% (0.219 0.22)
1-3 @ 8.06% (-0.072999999999999 -0.07)
0-2 @ 7.83% (0.122 0.12)
0-3 @ 7.11% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-1 @ 5.76% (0.279 0.28)
1-4 @ 5.49% (-0.241 -0.24)
0-4 @ 4.84% (-0.259 -0.26)
2-3 @ 4.57% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-4 @ 3.11% (-0.107 -0.11)
1-5 @ 2.99% (-0.239 -0.24)
0-5 @ 2.63% (-0.237 -0.24)
2-5 @ 1.69% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-6 @ 1.36% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-6 @ 1.2% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-4 @ 1.18% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 70.82%

rhs 2.0
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