Scottish League One | Gameweek 3

Aug 19, 2023 at 3pm UK

New Central Park

Kelty Hearts
2 - 1
Alloa

Cunningham (38' pen., 62')
Lyon (26'), O'Ware (55')

FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Donnel (90+1')
Neill (39'), Debayo (42'), Deveney (58'), Graham (64'), Roberts (70'), O'Donnel (88')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish League One clash between Kelty Hearts and Alloa Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kelty Hearts

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: Kelty Hearts 0-2 Hamilton
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Alloa Athletic

All competitions

Scottish League One

Last Game: Alloa 0-1 Stirling
Saturday, August 12 at 3pm in Scottish League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kelty Hearts win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kelty Hearts win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kelty Hearts would win this match.

Result
Kelty Hearts	Draw	Alloa Athletic
42.08% ( -0.69)	25.63% ( 0.4)	32.29% ( 0.28)

Both teams to score 54.63% (

-1.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.7% (

-1.64)

49.3% (

1.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.65% (

-1.5)

71.35% (

1.5)

Kelty Hearts Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.72% (

-1.04)

23.28% (

1.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.79% (

-1.54)

57.21% (

1.54)

Alloa Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.2% (

-0.63)

28.8% (

0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.35% (

-0.79)

64.65% (

0.79)

Score Analysis

Kelty Hearts 42.08%

Alloa Athletic 32.29%

Draw 25.63%

Kelty Hearts	Draw	Alloa Athletic
1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 3.46% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.17) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.06% Total : 42.08%	1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 6.7% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.63%	0-1 @ 8.34% ( 0.41) 1-2 @ 7.57% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.61% Total : 32.29%