Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stirling Albion win with a probability of 40.27%. A win for Kelty Hearts had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stirling Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.23%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Kelty Hearts win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stirling Albion would win this match.
Result | ||
Stirling Albion | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
40.27% ( -0.14) | 24.67% ( 0.02) | 35.06% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 58.73% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.69% ( -0.08) | 44.31% ( 0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.32% ( -0.07) | 66.68% ( 0.08) |
Stirling Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.01% ( -0.1) | 21.99% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.71% ( -0.15) | 55.29% ( 0.16) |
Kelty Hearts Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.29% ( 0.04) | 24.71% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.74% ( 0.05) | 59.26% ( -0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Stirling Albion | Draw | Kelty Hearts |
2-1 @ 8.71% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.23% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.15% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 40.27% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.66% | 1-2 @ 8.04% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.6% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.76% Total : 35.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arbroath | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 31 |
2 | Kelty Hearts | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 17 | 11 | 29 |
3 | StenhousemuirStenhousemuir | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 27 |
4 | Alloa AthleticAlloa | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 25 |
5 | Cove Rangers | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 25 |
6 | Montrose | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 23 |
7 | Queen of the SouthQotS | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 21 |
8 | Annan AthleticAnnan | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 16 | 32 | -16 | 18 |
9 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 10 |
10 | Dumbarton | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 36 | -12 | 4 |
> Scottish League One Full Table |