Scottish Challenge Cup | Third Round
Nov 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
East End Park
Dunfermline2 - 1Celtic Res.
Coverage of the Scottish Challenge Cup Third Round clash between Dunfermline Athletic and Celtic Reserves.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Dunfermline 2-2 Clyde
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Scottish League One
Goals
for
for
22
Last Game: Celtic Res. 3-0 Livingston U21s
Wednesday, August 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
Wednesday, August 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Challenge Cup
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Alloa | 30 | 2.00 | Rodden |
| 2 | Airdrieonians | 27 | 1.80 | Jamieson |
| 3 | Falkirk | 27 | 1.80 | Alegria |
| 4 | Edinburgh | 25 | 1.67 | Handling |
| 5 | Montrose | 25 | 1.67 | Wright |
| 6 | QotS | 24 | 1.60 | Paton |
| 7 | Dunfermline | 22 | 1.47 | Todorov |
| 8 | Clyde | 18 | 1.20 | Allan |
| 9 | Kelty Hearts | 14 | 0.93 | Agyeman |
| 10 | Peterhead | 10 | 0.67 | Gillies |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dunfermline Athletic win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Celtic Reserves had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dunfermline Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Celtic Reserves win was 1-2 (7.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dunfermline Athletic in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Celtic Reserves |
44.53% ( -0.49) | 24.23% ( -0.3) | 31.23% ( 0.78) |
| Both teams to score 58.95% ( 1.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
