Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win with a probability of 59.46%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Elgin City had a probability of 19.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.14%) and 0-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Elgin City win it was 2-1 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Inverness Caledonian Thistle would win this match.
