Scottish Championship | Gameweek 5

Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK

Stark's Park

Raith Rovers
1 - 0
Inverness

Gullan (87')
Dick (62'), Watson (90'), Watson (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Gilmour (8'), Devine (84')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Scottish Championship clash between Raith Rovers and Inverness Caledonian Thistle.

Form, Standings, Stats

Raith Rovers

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Raith Rovers 3-0 Cliftonville
Saturday, September 9 at 2pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Goals
for

Inverness Caledonian Thistle

All competitions

Scottish Championship

Last Game: Arbroath 4-2 Inverness
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in Scottish Challenge Cup

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 52.92%. A win for Inverness Caledonian Thistle had a probability of 23.7% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Inverness Caledonian Thistle win was 0-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Raith Rovers in this match.

Result
Raith Rovers	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
52.92% ( 0.61)	23.38% ( -0.23)	23.7% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 55.59% (

0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.93% (

0.65)

45.06% (

-0.65)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.59% (

0.62)

67.41% (

-0.62)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83% (

0.46)

17% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.87% (

0.81)

47.12% (

-0.82)

Inverness Caledonian Thistle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.98% (

0.02)

33.02% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.39% (

0.03)

69.61% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Raith Rovers 52.92%

Inverness Caledonian Thistle 23.7%

Draw 23.38%

Raith Rovers	Draw	Inverness Caledonian Thistle
1-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 8.81% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.09) 4-0 @ 2.31% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.04% Total : 52.92%	1-1 @ 11.02% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.61% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.38%	0-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.45% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.4% Total : 23.7%