Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 54.01%. A win for Queen's Park had a probability of 23.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Queen's Park win was 1-2 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Raith Rovers | Draw | Queen's Park |
54.01% ( -0.01) | 22.95% ( 0) | 23.04% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 56.24% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.17% ( 0.01) | 43.83% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.78% ( 0.01) | 66.22% ( -0) |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.83% | 16.17% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.37% | 45.63% ( 0) |
Queen's Park Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.08% ( 0.01) | 32.92% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.5% ( 0.01) | 69.5% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Raith Rovers | Draw | Queen's Park |
2-1 @ 9.82% 1-0 @ 9.7% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.84% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.96% 3-0 @ 5.37% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.72% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.45% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.51% 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.36% Total : 54.01% | 1-1 @ 10.77% 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.32% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.94% | 1-2 @ 5.99% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.91% 0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 23.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | FalkirkFalkirk | 14 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 27 | 9 | 18 | 32 |
2 | Livingston | 14 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 29 |
3 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 25 |
4 | Partick ThistlePartick | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 23 |
5 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 22 |
6 | Raith Rovers | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 15 |
7 | Hamilton AcademicalHamilton | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 15 |
8 | Greenock MortonMorton | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 14 |
9 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 12 |
10 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 5 |
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