Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Tula win with a probability of 36.69%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 35.52% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Tula win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Khimki win was 0-1 (10.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
