Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 54.41%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for FC Ufa had a probability of 19.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.59%) and 2-1 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a FC Ufa win it was 0-1 (8.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lokomotiv Moscow in this match.
