Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 52.04%. A win for Akhmat Grozny had a probability of 24.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest Akhmat Grozny win was 1-2 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.