Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Krylia Sovetov win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Krylia Sovetov win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.92%). The likeliest Sochi win was 0-1 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Krylia Sovetov would win this match.
