Russian Premier League | Gameweek 28
May 20, 2023 at 12pm UK
RZD Arena
Lokomotiv1 - 0Fakel
Miranchuk (87')
Barinov (25'), Pogostnov (46'), Tiknizyan (50'), Kuzmichev (61'), Glushenkov (80')
Barinov (25'), Pogostnov (46'), Tiknizyan (50'), Kuzmichev (61'), Glushenkov (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Lokomotiv Moscow and Fakel.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Krylia Sovetov 1-1 Lokomotiv
Sunday, May 14 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Sunday, May 14 at 12pm in Russian Premier League
Last Game: Fakel 1-0 Nizhny Novgorod
Sunday, May 14 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Sunday, May 14 at 5pm in Russian Premier League
Goals
for
for
34
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 60.79%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Fakel had a probability of 17.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Fakel win it was 0-1 (5.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lokomotiv Moscow in this match.
Result | ||
Lokomotiv Moscow | Draw | Fakel |
60.79% ( 0.08) | 21.45% ( -0.03) | 17.76% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 52.73% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.6% ( 0.08) | 44.4% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.23% ( 0.08) | 66.77% ( -0.07) |
Lokomotiv Moscow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.86% ( 0.05) | 14.14% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.21% ( 0.1) | 41.8% ( -0.09) |
Fakel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.41% ( -0) | 38.59% ( 0.01) |