Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 36.33%. A win for Rostov had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.9%) and 0-2 (6.52%). The likeliest Rostov win was 1-0 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
