Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lokomotiv Moscow win with a probability of 47.46%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lokomotiv Moscow win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 1-2 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lokomotiv Moscow would win this match.