Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CSKA Moscow win with a probability of 50.33%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 24.92% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a CSKA Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.96%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 1-0 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that CSKA Moscow would win this match.