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Russian Premier League | Gameweek 20
Mar 18, 2023 at 9am UK
Stadion Gazovik

Orenburg
2 - 0
Spartak Moscow

Kavalyow (17'), Vorobyev (23')
Vorobyev (4'), Sivakov (39'), Sysuev (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Zinkovskiy (37'), Sobolev (45+5'), Litvinov (55')
Coverage of the Russian Premier League clash between Orenburg and Spartak Moscow.

Form, Standings, Stats

Orenburg

All competitions
Last Game: Sochi 0-4 Orenburg
Friday, March 10 at 4pm in Russian Premier League

Spartak Moscow

All competitions
Last Game: Spartak Moscow 3-2 Fakel
Saturday, March 11 at 1.30pm in Russian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 51.93%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 24.81% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 2-1 (6.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
OrenburgDrawSpartak Moscow
24.81% (-1.569 -1.57) 23.27% (-0.098000000000003 -0.1) 51.93% (1.671 1.67)
Both teams to score 57.24% (-1.245 -1.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.53% (-0.928 -0.93)43.47% (0.931 0.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.14% (-0.919 -0.92)65.86% (0.922 0.92)
Orenburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78% (-1.724 -1.72)31.22% (1.726 1.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.43% (-2.055 -2.06)67.57% (2.057 2.06)
Spartak Moscow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.22% (0.268 0.27)16.78% (-0.267 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.28% (0.476 0.48)46.73% (-0.474 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Orenburg 24.81%
    Spartak Moscow 51.93%
    Draw 23.26%
OrenburgDrawSpartak Moscow
2-1 @ 6.34% (-0.294 -0.29)
1-0 @ 6.1% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-0 @ 3.55% (-0.198 -0.2)
3-1 @ 2.46% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-2 @ 2.19% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-0 @ 1.38% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 24.81%
1-1 @ 10.88% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.66% (-0.21 -0.21)
0-0 @ 5.24% (0.211 0.21)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.102 -0.1)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.26%
1-2 @ 9.72% (0.108 0.11)
0-1 @ 9.35% (0.456 0.46)
0-2 @ 8.35% (0.477 0.48)
1-3 @ 5.78% (0.114 0.11)
0-3 @ 4.97% (0.325 0.32)
2-3 @ 3.37% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.58% (0.073 0.07)
0-4 @ 2.22% (0.164 0.16)
2-4 @ 1.5% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-5 @ 0.92% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 51.93%

Head to Head
Jul 31, 2022 3.30pm
Spartak Moscow
4-1
Orenburg
Martins Pereira (2'), Sobolev (12'), Promes (38', 90+4')
Khlusevich (80')
Basic (55')
Sivakov (21'), Oganesyan (61'), Ektov (87'), Khotulev (90+4')
Mar 14, 2020 11am
Orenburg
1-3
Spartak Moscow
Fameyeh (17')
Terekhov (45'), Miskic (56')
Ponce (44'), Larsson (71'), Mirzov (90')
Maslov (29'), Markitesov (45'), Lucas (90')
Sep 29, 2019 2.30pm
Spartak Moscow
1-2
Orenburg
Melgarejo (65')
Kutepov (6'), Bakaev (93')
Malykh (45'), Despotovic (63')
Terekhov (21'), Miskic (33')
Miskic (71')
May 26, 2019 12pm
Orenburg
2-0
Spartak Moscow
Alves (8'), Kulishev (94')
Popovic (11'), Despotovic (12'), Malykh (78'), Dovbnya (90'), Kulishev (95')

Guliev (27'), Melgarejo (78')
May 25, 2019
1am
Orenburg  
vs.
  Spartak Moscow
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Bengals
34-35
Ravens
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC KrasnodarKrasnodar1411303162536
2Zenit St PetersburgZenit1410313162533
3Lokomotiv MoscowLokomotiv14101328171131
4Dynamo Moscow1483328161227
5Spartak Moscow147432112925
6CSKA MoscowCSKA147342291324
7Rubin Kazan145361621-518
8Akron TolyattiAkron144461926-716
9Nizhny Novgorod144371424-1015
10RostovRostov143561725-814
11Dynamo MakhachkalaMakhachkala14266713-612
12Krylia SovetovKrylia Sovetov143381221-912
13KhimkiKhimki142661525-1012
14Fakel14266921-1212
15Akhmat GroznyAkhmat Grozny141671227-159
16OrenburgOrenburg141581528-138
> Russian Premier League Full Table


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