Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 47.87%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Ural Yekaterinburg had a probability of 25.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.19%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.49%), while for a Ural Yekaterinburg win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rostov in this match.
