Rotor

1 - 2

Sochi

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotor Volgograd win with a probability of 49.51%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 25.47% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rotor Volgograd win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Sochi win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.