Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zenit St Petersburg win with a probability of 71.84%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 11.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zenit St Petersburg win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 3-0 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.36%), while for a Krylia Sovetov win it was 1-2 (3.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zenit St Petersburg would win this match.