Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 24
Mar 15, 2024 at 7pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City
Al-Ahli0 - 1Al-Nassr
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Al-Taawoun 0-1 Al-Ahli
Saturday, March 9 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Saturday, March 9 at 5pm in Saudi Pro League
Last Game: Al-Nassr 4-3 Al-Ain (1-3 pen.)
Monday, March 11 at 7pm in AFC Champions League
Monday, March 11 at 7pm in AFC Champions League
We said: Al-Ahli 2-1 Al-Nassr
Off the back of an agonising Champions League exit, Al-Nassr will head into the weekend in search of a morale-boosting result. However, Al-Ahli have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks and we see them securing a narrow victory in front of their home supporters. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ahli win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Al-Nassr had a probability of 35.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ahli win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.4%). The likeliest Al-Nassr win was 0-1 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Al-Ahli | Draw | Al-Nassr |
38.54% ( -0.4) | 25.78% ( 0.07) | 35.67% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 54.91% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
