Al-Hilal3 - 1Al Fateh
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, April 23 at 7pm in AFC Champions League
Thursday, April 18 at 7pm in Saudi Pro League
We said: Al-Hilal 2-1 Al Fateh
Al-Hilal will be looking to bounce straight back from their AFC Champions League disappointment in this match and will know that regaining momentum will be crucial leading up to their King's Cup semi-final next week. Al Fateh are never an easy team to face, but we fancy the Blue Waves to grind out a result in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 83.41%. A draw had a probability of 9.9% and a win for Al Fateh had a probability of 6.64%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 3-1 with a probability of 7.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (7.81%) and 4-1 (6.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.8%), while for an Al Fateh win it was 1-2 (1.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Al-Hilal in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Al-Hilal.
| Result | ||
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al Fateh |
83.41% ( 0) | 9.95% ( 0) | 6.64% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 61.76% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 83.13% ( -0.02) | 16.87% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 66.5% ( -0.02) | 33.49% ( 0.03) |
| Al-Hilal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.07% | 2.92% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 86.75% ( -0.01) | 13.25% ( 0.01) |
| Al Fateh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.62% ( -0.02) | 36.38% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.83% ( -0.02) | 73.16% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Al-Hilal | Draw | Al Fateh |
| 3-1 @ 7.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 6.98% ( -0)4-0 @ 6.9% ( 0)2-1 @ 6.71% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 4.93% ( -0)5-0 @ 4.88% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.99% ( -0)1-0 @ 3.76% ( 0)4-2 @ 3.53% ( -0)6-1 @ 2.9% ( -0)6-0 @ 2.87% 5-2 @ 2.49% ( -0)6-2 @ 1.47% ( -0)7-1 @ 1.47% ( -0)7-0 @ 1.45% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 5.56% Total : 83.41% | 1-1 @ 3.8% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.39% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)0-0 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.35% Total : 9.95% | 1-2 @ 1.92% 2-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)0-1 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 6.64% |
