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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 24
Mar 16, 2024 at 7pm UK
Kingdom Arena

Al-Hilal
2 - 1
Damac

Al-Dawsari (79'), Michael (90+3')
Albulayhi (11'), Abdul Hamid (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Antolic (86')
Hamed (17'), Bedrane (70')
Contra (12'), Al-Anazi (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Hilal and Damac, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Al Ittihad 0-2 Al-Hilal
Tuesday, March 12 at 7pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Damac 1-0 Al Wahda
Thursday, March 7 at 2pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al-Hilal 3-1 Damac

The Kingdom Arena has been a fortress for Al-Hilal this season, and there are no signs of the champions-elect stepping off the accelerator anytime soon. Damac are no pushover, but we feel they will be no match for the mighty Blue Waves in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Hilal win with a probability of 79.27%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Damac had a probability of 7.87%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al-Hilal win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.84%), while for a Damac win it was 1-2 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al-Hilal would win this match.

Result
Al-HilalDrawDamac
79.27% (-0.77 -0.77) 12.85% (0.435 0.44) 7.87% (0.33 0.33)
Both teams to score 53.21% (-0.214 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.66% (-1.037 -1.04)28.34% (1.031 1.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.84% (-1.29 -1.29)49.16% (1.285 1.29)
Al-Hilal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.4% (-0.34 -0.34)5.6% (0.334 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.26% (-0.97800000000001 -0.98)21.73% (0.973 0.97)
Damac Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.36% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)43.63% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.18% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)79.82% (0.017999999999986 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Al-Hilal 79.27%
    Damac 7.87%
    Draw 12.85%
Al-HilalDrawDamac
2-0 @ 10.14% (0.19 0.19)
3-0 @ 9.75% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.42% (0.16 0.16)
3-1 @ 8.09% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.04% (0.283 0.28)
4-0 @ 7.03% (-0.16 -0.16)
4-1 @ 5.83% (-0.137 -0.14)
5-0 @ 4.05% (-0.181 -0.18)
5-1 @ 3.36% (-0.152 -0.15)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.42% (-0.058 -0.06)
6-0 @ 1.95% (-0.131 -0.13)
6-1 @ 1.62% (-0.109 -0.11)
5-2 @ 1.39% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 4.83%
Total : 79.27%
1-1 @ 5.84% (0.231 0.23)
2-2 @ 3.49% (0.064 0.06)
0-0 @ 2.44% (0.147 0.15)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 12.85%
1-2 @ 2.42% (0.094 0.09)
0-1 @ 2.03% (0.121 0.12)
2-3 @ 0.97% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 7.87%

How you voted: Al-Hilal vs Damac

Al-Hilal
100%
Draw
0.0%
Damac
0.0%
11
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 7
Damac
1-1
Al-Hilal
Stanciu (68')
Hamed (12'), Sayyar Al Anazi (45+3')
Malcom (9')
Michael (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al-HilalAl-Hilal109102781928
2Al Ittihad109012481627
3Al-Nassr106402181322
4Al ShababAl Shabab10703146821
5Al Quadisiya10613137619
6Al Khaleej105141212016
7Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun10433119215
8Al-AhliAl-Ahli10424149514
9Al Riyadh104241315-214
10Damac103251618-211
11Al RaedAl Raed103251315-211
12Al Ettifaq10325915-611
13Al Orubah10316921-1210
14Al Okhdood102261114-38
15Al Kholood101451219-77
16Al Fayha10145719-127
17Al WahdaAl Wahda101361427-136
18Al Fateh10127818-105


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