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Saudi Pro League | Gameweek 15
Nov 30, 2023 at 6pm UK
King Abdullah Sports City

Al Ittihad
4 - 2
Al Khaleej

Coronado (9'), Benzema (29' pen.), Hamdallah (65' pen.), Al Hawsawi (74')
Hawsawi (52'), Al-Ghamdi (61')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Narey (45' pen.), Altryes (90')
Al Hamsal (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Saudi Pro League clash between Al Ittihad and Al Khaleej, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: AGMK 1-2 Al Ittihad
Monday, November 27 at 4pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Al Wahda 3-1 Al Khaleej
Saturday, November 25 at 6pm in Saudi Pro League

We said: Al Ittihad 2-0 Al Khaleej

While Al Ittihad have not been at their best of late, they have beaten bottom-half teams with relative ease this season. The visitors have never beaten this opponent in the top flight, and we feel they will suffer another defeat in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al Ittihad win with a probability of 72.73%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Al Khaleej had a probability of 10.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Al Ittihad win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.54%) and 3-0 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.02%), while for an Al Khaleej win it was 0-1 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Al Ittihad would win this match.

Result
Al IttihadDrawAl Khaleej
72.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 16.87% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 10.4% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 48.11% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.87% (0.018000000000001 0.02)40.13% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.5% (0.016999999999996 0.02)62.5% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Al Ittihad Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.36% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)9.64% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.81% (0.013000000000005 0.01)32.19% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Al Khaleej Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.24% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)46.76% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.7% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)82.3% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Al Ittihad 72.72%
    Al Khaleej 10.4%
    Draw 16.87%
Al IttihadDrawAl Khaleej
2-0 @ 12.33%
1-0 @ 10.54% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 9.62% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 9.38%
3-1 @ 7.31% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-0 @ 5.62% (0.00099999999999945 0)
4-1 @ 4.28% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 2.78% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 2.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 1.03% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 72.72%
1-1 @ 8.02% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.51% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 3.56%
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 16.87%
0-1 @ 3.43% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-2 @ 3.05%
0-2 @ 1.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 0.9% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 10.4%

How you voted: Al Ittihad vs Al Khaleej

Al Ittihad
78.6%
Draw
7.1%
Al Khaleej
14.3%
14
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
9.30pm
Chargers
@
Texans
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Al Ittihad1312013292336
2Al-HilalAl-Hilal13111134142034
3Al-Nassr1484228131528
4Al Quadisiya139131981128
5Al-AhliAl-Ahli1482423131026
6Al ShababAl Shabab147252014623
7Al Riyadh146441818022
8Al Khaleej146261819-120
9Al-TaawounAl-Taawoun135351414018
10Damac144362223-115
11Al Ettifaq144371323-1015
12Al RaedAl Raed144271822-414
13Al Kholood143471827-913
14Al Orubah134181125-1413
15Al Okhdood143381722-512
16Al WahdaAl Wahda143381932-1312
17Al Fayha13157923-148
18Al Fateh1413101226-146


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