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Scottish Championship Playoffs | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 11, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Hope CBD Stadium
Alloa Athletic

Hamilton
3 - 2
Alloa

Tumilty (18'), Smith (43'), Rose (77')
Davidson (55'), Tumilty (58'), Owens (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Coulson (7'), Sammon (57')
Neill (45'), McKay (90+1')
Neill (45')
Coverage of the Scottish Championship Playoffs Semi-Finals clash between Hamilton Academical and Alloa Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamilton Academical

All competitions
Scottish Championship Playoffs
Last Game: Alloa 2-2 Hamilton
Tuesday, May 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs

Alloa Athletic

All competitions
Scottish Championship Playoffs
Last Game: Alloa 2-2 Hamilton
Tuesday, May 7 at 7.45pm in Scottish Championship Playoffs

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamilton Academical win with a probability of 55.12%. A win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 23.63% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamilton Academical win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.48%) and 1-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamilton Academical would win this match.

Result
Hamilton AcademicalDrawAlloa Athletic
55.12%21.24%23.63%
Both teams to score 63.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.81%35.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.79%57.2%
Hamilton Academical Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.16%12.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.8%39.2%
Alloa Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.34%27.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.79%63.21%
Score Analysis
    Hamilton Academical 55.12%
    Alloa Athletic 23.64%
    Draw 21.24%
Hamilton AcademicalDrawAlloa Athletic
2-1 @ 9.62%
2-0 @ 7.48%
1-0 @ 7.29%
3-1 @ 6.58%
3-0 @ 5.12%
3-2 @ 4.23%
4-1 @ 3.38%
4-0 @ 2.63%
4-2 @ 2.17%
5-1 @ 1.39%
5-0 @ 1.08%
4-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 55.12%
1-1 @ 9.37%
2-2 @ 6.18%
0-0 @ 3.55%
3-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.24%
1-2 @ 6.02%
0-1 @ 4.57%
0-2 @ 2.93%
2-3 @ 2.65%
1-3 @ 2.58%
0-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 23.64%

Head to Head
May 7, 2024 7.45pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Alloa
2-2
Hamilton
Steven (47'), Roberts (54')
O'Donnel (89')
Henderson (31'), O'Hara (75')
O'Hara (90+2')
Apr 27, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Alloa
0-1
Hamilton

Roy (48')
O'Hara (28')
Martin (45'), Williamson (59')
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Hamilton
1-2
Alloa
Henderson (61')
Roberts (58'), Robertson (84')
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 16
Alloa
0-0
Hamilton
Roberts (72')
O'Hara (70'), McGowan (77'), Martin (78')
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 6
Hamilton
2-1
Alloa
Henderson (47'), McGlynn (90+3')
O'Hara (19'), Hewitt (90+6')
Donnelly (69')
Hetherington (90+3'), O'Donnel (90+6')
rhs 2.0
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